Meanwhile, Rochester has had 10 near-normal, 7 among the wettest third, and 7 among the driest third. WebNovember 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in early December and early and late January. It is still too early for us at the Arkansas Storm Team to make our winter forecast. "These third-year La Nias are very tricky," Pastelok said, with no two La Nia winters being exactly the same. In the northern Plains, this can result in AccuWeather RealFeel Temperatures plummeting toward 50 degrees below zero. An animated illustration that depicts the global scale and eastward propagation of these two phases of the MJO is shown here (Fig. Severe weather as a whole decreases across the U.S. during the winter months, but it can still be disastrous across the Southeast during this time of year. Thompson, D.W.J., and J.M. Updated Sep 30, 2022 1:07 PM EDT. "Below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) strengthened in the east-central Pacific Ocean during October[Fig. TEI and HEI are calibrated to match the recent climatology of tornado numbers and hail events. Preparedness What are the best winter hikes in Arkansas? Differences between the two periods for the precipitation composites are much smaller and therefore are not shown here. Based on climate analysis (3) from this new snow dataset, we see that La Nia favors increased snowfall over the Northwest and the northern Rockies, as well as in the upper Midwest Great Lakes region. These shifts would also be expected to impact thunderstorm activity: El Nio tends to shift the jet stream farther south over the U.S., which blocks moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, reducing the fuel for thunderstorms. When La Nia develops across the tropical central/eastern Pacific Ocean, it can affect areas thousands of miles away, including the United States. The Farmers Almanac Extended Winter Weather Forecast in Arkansas says that this year's cold-weather season could be quite frigid, depending on where in the During the past 15 years (optimal climate normal), Unfavorable things for a wetter-than-normal winter. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. The NAO exhibits considerable interseasonal and interannual variability, and prolonged periods (several months) of both positive and negative phases of the pattern are common. ENSOshifts the atmospheric circulation(notably, thejet stream) in ways that affect wintertemperature and precipitation over the U.S. Figure 2. in emergency situations where schools cannot adequately plan or prepare for distance learning, the district may close schools entirely, according to a recent report by The Associated Press, The sheer amount of water vapor could be enough to temporarily affect Earths global average temperature, How to help Mississippi tornado survivors, AccuWeather's 2022-2023 US winter forecast. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey, File). Horizontal arrows pointing left represent wind departures from average that are easterly, and arrows pointing right represent wind departures from average that are westerly. Unreasonably cold is how the Farmers Almanac is characterizing the weather prediction for the D.C. area as it settles in 2023. The years are ranked by how far below average the temperatures were in the central/eastern tropical Pacific: strong (at least -1.5 Celsius colder than average), moderate (between -1 and -1.5C), and weak (between -0.5 and -1C colder-than-average). Weather Phenomenon Wallace, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (2545 KB). La Nia literally means "the little girl." Temperatures. WebWinter Preparedness See More. The mild start to the winter will not necessarily be indicative of what is foreseen to unfold across the region after the calendar flips to 2023. This is different from 2022 when the middle part of the winter season in California turned drier then stormy again in the spring. From the AGU monograph on the North Atlantic Oscillation, 293, 85-89. Temp/Pcpn Summary Precipitation will be below normal, with above-normal snowfall in the north. The entire system shifts eastward over time, eventually circling the globe and returning to its point of origin. Because a weak La Nia means that the forcing from the Pacific is weaker than normal, it may imply other mechanisms (e.g. Climate Dyn.,40,17491766. A few showers will linger in far southeast Arkansas. MonthlyandDailyvalues for the Arctic Oscillation Index are available from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Street Departments The one negative with this is that the past 2 winters were moderateLa Nias and they were both near-normal. (2012) and Allen et al. That's incredibly frigid. AccuWeathers official 2022-2023 U.S. winter forecast is rather bleak for snow lovers. Low temperatures will drop into the mid 40s in central Arkansas, and upper 30s across the north. Madden R. and P. Julian, 1971: Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific,J. Atmos. Science / Research Averages and standard deviations are calculated for running accumulations of daily temperature and snow scores as well as the total AWSSI. Unlock AccuWeather Alerts with Premium+. Regardless of whether youre a runner, youve likely heard of both New Balance and Adidas. Last year, there were several snow events across the region that blanketed some southern cities. WebFortunately, right on cue, the Farmers Almanac has released its 2022/2023 winter weather forecast. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. temperature and precipitation over the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, The remainder of the U.S. falls into the category of equal chances for. By Cassou, C., 2008: Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. by: Pat Walker, Alex Libby, Carmen Rose. This will highlight those regions that often have temperature or precipitation anomalies of the same sign. The uneven snowpack may bring drastic swings across the central U.S. as warm and cold areas compete for dominance. it is common for La Nia to last for two years or more. 6]. The best chances for snow in the north will be in early to mid-January and mid-February. On Jan. 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haapai volcano, an underwater volcano located about 2,200 miles northeast of Sydney, Australia, erupted in grand fashion, sending a significant plume of gas, ash and water vapor high into Earths atmosphere. The current season (2022-23) AWSSI can be found here. The Farmers Almanacs 2022 2023 extended winter forecast for Arkansas calls for a Chilly near normal precipitation winter. National Weather Service Staff Winter is fast approaching, but AccuWeather meteorologists say that it will shape up much differently than last winter in part due to a volcano that erupted on the other side of the globe. The location of the convective phases is often grouped into geographically based stages that climate scientists number 1-8 as shown in Figure 1. If the early snowpack holds in western Canada, it may allow colder air, stronger cold fronts, to dive south. Sea surface temperature pattern showing the warm phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (top). | Realtime MJO information that is updated daily or weekly can be found on the NOAA CPCMJO webpage. The AWSSI is not limited to meteorological winter (December February) but is intended to capture winter weather from its earliest occurrence to its last. And in the winter, during a freeze? Fire Weather 7])." They often noticed regular oscillations in winds (as defined from departures from average) between Singapore and Canton Island in the west-central equatorial Pacific (Madden and Julian, 1971; 1972; Zhang, 2005). "I think going forward, even though we're in the La Nia [phase], it may be just too mild at the middle part of the season to get a lot of frequent [snow] events," Pastelok explained. For the MJO to be considered active, this dipole of enhanced/suppressed convective phases must be present and shifting eastward with time. In the enhanced convective phase, winds at the surface converge, and the air is pushed up throughout the atmosphere. 3], reflecting the stationary pattern of below-average temperatures across the eastern Pacific Ocean[Fig. Outside of that region, New England is one of the only areas east of the Rocky Mountains where snowfall could end up being above normal. Precipitation Reports The largest signal is present in the south and southeast (including parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Missouri), except in Florida where the opposite relation is observed. Clark said that in some instances, remote learning could be a possibility in the event of inclement weather, according to LocalToday. Stronger cold fronts? However, the coldest reading ever in the Natural State goes to the far northwest Arkansas community of Gravette in Benton County. Accumulations of the temperature and snow components of the index are computed separately and then added together for the total index. Schools Shes also had the honor of interviewing actress Sela Ward for The Mississippi Arts and Entertainment Experience. Winter seasons have significant societal impacts across all sectors ranging from direct human health and mortality to commerce, transportation, and education. We have updated our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. The typical U.S. impacts are warmer- and drier-than-average conditions across the southern tier of the United States, colder-than-average conditions across the north-central Plains, and wetter-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwest stretching into northern California. More frequent severe storms? All NOAA, NOAA's CPC Winter 2022-23 Outlook
There is above-normal snowfall around the Pacific basin and below-normal snowfall around the Atlantic basin. Overall, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system continued to reflect La Nia. Winter in Arkansas can be anything but predictable, but, armed with the Farmers Almanac Extended Winter Weather Forecast in Arkansas, we're hopeful that we might just catch some frozen falls this season! WebGet the monthly weather forecast for Little Rock, AR, including daily high/low, historical averages, to help you plan ahead. Higgins, W., J. Schemm, W. Shi, and A. Leetmaa, 2000: Extreme precipitation events in the western United States related to tropical forcing. The fallout from the eruption towered through the troposphere, the lowest layer of the atmosphere where most weather occurs, and reached into the stratosphere. This is also pretty vague, but it sounds like the forecast was for well below average temperatures with normal rain/snow totals. Local Storm Report, Decision Support The retreat of the jet stream results in more blocking high pressure systems that allow colder air to spill into western and central Canada and parts of the northern contiguous U.S. At the same time, storm track activity across the southern tier of the U.S. is diminished under upper-level high pressure, which also favors milder-than-normal temperatures. A repeat of last winter's early-season storms is unlikely, according to long-range forecasters. At least 6 killed as storm spawns tornadoes across storm-weary Midwest, Severe weather to threaten areas from Philadelphia to Charlotte, 2024 total solar eclipse guide: Everything you need to know, Rare April subtropical storm may brew in Gulf of Mexico, Ice climber in Utah dies after saving another from falling ice, Avalanche kills 7 tourists, injures 20 in India region near Tibet, Astronomy news: Hypnotic lights captured by NASA astronaut, Photo from ISS shows Earth, stars in motion, Scientists film deepest ever fish on seabed off Japan. The regular climate phenomenon occurs when the water near the equator in the eastern Pacific Ocean is cooler than average, which in turn influences the jet stream and the overall weather patterns in North America. As for Floridians and reptilian inhabitants of the Sunshine State, the pushes of frigid air that do make it to the Southeast might come short of intruding deep into central or southern Florida. For La Crosse, the temperature and precipitation data extend back to the 1872-73 winter and snowfall back to 1895-96. For more information, please visit the NCEIandClimate Prediction Center NAO pages. So, unlike ENSO, which is stationary, the MJO is aneastward movingdisturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average. This bike rider we will call the MJO and he/she may cross the stage from left to right several times during the show. Webnigel williams editor // arkansas winter forecast 2022. arkansas winter forecast 2022. hillary clinton height / trey robinson son of smokey mother However, the frequency, number, and intensity of these events cannot be predicted on a seasonal timescale. Daily scores are calculated based on scores assigned to temperature, snowfall, and snow depth thresholds. Meanwhile, drier-than-normal conditions are seen across central South America. Central and Southern California still have a chance to receive beneficial rainfall and mountain snow this winter, but the storms are likely to hold off until after the start of 2023. ModerateLa Nias (27% chance for this winter) tend to be in the coldest third of winters. Several times a year the MJO is a strong contributor to various extreme events in the United States, including Arctic air outbreaks during the winter months across the central and eastern portions of the United States. A moderate La Nia is shaping up across the eastern Pacific. This generally leads to a more variable polar jet stream, dumping cold air into the upper Mississippi River Valley. There will be a few chances for Arkansas to pick up some of this cold air. We generally get about 4-7 inches of snow in an average winter. The late-winter storms could help alleviate the severity of the drought heading into the spring when farmers begin to prepare to plant their annual crops. The snowfall totals will be boosted by a few nor'easters, with January and March bringing the highest chances of powerful coastal snowstorms. Get AccuWeather alerts as they happen with our browser notifications. Both phases of the NAO are associated with basin-wide changes in the intensity and location of the North Atlantic jet stream and storm track, and in large-scale modulations of the normal patterns of zonal and meridional heat and moisture transport, which in turn results in changes in temperature and precipitation patterns often extending from eastern North America to western and central Europe. | Arctic Arkansas, RELATED: Winter warnings vs watches, what's the difference? Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. To watch the latest video updates from the Arkansas Storm Team, you can check them out here. Visit the Old Farmers Almanac website to read the 2022-2023 winter weather forecast in full. Snowstorms will occur at times this winter. 2000, Cassou, 2008, Lin et al. In addition to fueling an active final stretch of the Atlantic hurricane season, which officially lasts through Nov. 30, the warm waters off the coasts of the Southeast will promote frequent storms and downpours across the region as the autumn fades into winter.
Even less sea ice was reported back in February 2021. wind chill, blowing snow), Does not include mixed precipitation or freezing rain explicitly (a preciponly version of AWSSI may help address the impacts of these events). Anomalous ocean cooling (blue-green) in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean and warming over the western Pacific Ocean enhance the rising branch of the Walker circulation over the Maritime Continent and the sinking branch over the eastern Pacific Ocean. A major weather divide is int he forecast. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The MJO was first discovered in the early 1970s by Dr. Roland Madden and Dr. Paul Julian when they were studying tropical wind and pressure patterns. Overall we are expecting much of western Arkansas to receive 6-12 inches of snow by mid March. Enhanced rising motion is also observed over northern South America, while anomalous sinking motion is found over eastern Africa. Climate.gov figure based on analysis at CPC using Rutgers gridded snow data. In this preliminary analysis below, there is a suggestion that weaker events are snowier over the Northeast and northern and central Plains on average. The 2021-2022 winter precipitation outlook split the country into two halves. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecastfor the upcoming winter months of December-February: While a weak to moderate La Nia is expected to impact the weather across much of the United States, its impacts in the Upper Mississippi River Valley can be highly variable with both temperatures and precipitation. This will present the best opportunities for rain in Los Angeles and San Diego, but even still, it will be far from enough to completely erase the long-term drought across the Southwest. Resorts in Central and Southern California, as well as Arizona and Utah, may be slow going early in the winter before natural snow picks up during the second half of the winter -- the exact opposite of what unfolded at the start of last winter. This winter, AccuWeather is predicting that Washington, D.C., will experience accumulating snow on only three to five days throughout the season with total accumulations amounting to 6 to 10 inches, just below the average of 13.7 inches. LITTLE ROCK, Ark Every year the Farmers Almanac comes out with its winter forecast that tries to predict what to expect for the upcoming winter. Climate,13, 793-820. In the South and Southeast, where the signal is strongest, we see a clear shift in activity with the ENSO phase, but with a tremendous range of variability, meaning some El Nio years still have high severe weather activity, and some La Nia years are relatively inactive. 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The one negative with this is that the past 2 winters were moderateLa Nias and they were both near-normal. 
(2012) and Allen et al. That's incredibly frigid. AccuWeathers official 2022-2023 U.S. winter forecast is rather bleak for snow lovers. Low temperatures will drop into the mid 40s in central Arkansas, and upper 30s across the north. Madden R. and P. Julian, 1971: Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific,J. Atmos. Science / Research Averages and standard deviations are calculated for running accumulations of daily temperature and snow scores as well as the total AWSSI. Unlock AccuWeather Alerts with Premium+. Regardless of whether youre a runner, youve likely heard of both New Balance and Adidas. Last year, there were several snow events across the region that blanketed some southern cities. WebFortunately, right on cue, the Farmers Almanac has released its 2022/2023 winter weather forecast. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. temperature and precipitation over the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, The remainder of the U.S. falls into the category of equal chances for. By Cassou, C., 2008: Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. by: Pat Walker, Alex Libby, Carmen Rose. This will highlight those regions that often have temperature or precipitation anomalies of the same sign. The uneven snowpack may bring drastic swings across the central U.S. as warm and cold areas compete for dominance. it is common for La Nia to last for two years or more. 6]. The best chances for snow in the north will be in early to mid-January and mid-February. On Jan. 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haapai volcano, an underwater volcano located about 2,200 miles northeast of Sydney, Australia, erupted in grand fashion, sending a significant plume of gas, ash and water vapor high into Earths atmosphere. The current season (2022-23) AWSSI can be found here. The Farmers Almanacs 2022 2023 extended winter forecast for Arkansas calls for a Chilly near normal precipitation winter. National Weather Service Staff Winter is fast approaching, but AccuWeather meteorologists say that it will shape up much differently than last winter in part due to a volcano that erupted on the other side of the globe. The location of the convective phases is often grouped into geographically based stages that climate scientists number 1-8 as shown in Figure 1. If the early snowpack holds in western Canada, it may allow colder air, stronger cold fronts, to dive south. Sea surface temperature pattern showing the warm phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (top). | Realtime MJO information that is updated daily or weekly can be found on the NOAA CPCMJO webpage. The AWSSI is not limited to meteorological winter (December February) but is intended to capture winter weather from its earliest occurrence to its last. And in the winter, during a freeze? Fire Weather 7])." They often noticed regular oscillations in winds (as defined from departures from average) between Singapore and Canton Island in the west-central equatorial Pacific (Madden and Julian, 1971; 1972; Zhang, 2005). "I think going forward, even though we're in the La Nia [phase], it may be just too mild at the middle part of the season to get a lot of frequent [snow] events," Pastelok explained. For the MJO to be considered active, this dipole of enhanced/suppressed convective phases must be present and shifting eastward with time. In the enhanced convective phase, winds at the surface converge, and the air is pushed up throughout the atmosphere. 3], reflecting the stationary pattern of below-average temperatures across the eastern Pacific Ocean[Fig. Outside of that region, New England is one of the only areas east of the Rocky Mountains where snowfall could end up being above normal. Precipitation Reports The largest signal is present in the south and southeast (including parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Missouri), except in Florida where the opposite relation is observed. 
Clark said that in some instances, remote learning could be a possibility in the event of inclement weather, according to LocalToday. Stronger cold fronts? However, the coldest reading ever in the Natural State goes to the far northwest Arkansas community of Gravette in Benton County. Accumulations of the temperature and snow components of the index are computed separately and then added together for the total index. Schools Shes also had the honor of interviewing actress Sela Ward for The Mississippi Arts and Entertainment Experience. Winter seasons have significant societal impacts across all sectors ranging from direct human health and mortality to commerce, transportation, and education. We have updated our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. The typical U.S. impacts are warmer- and drier-than-average conditions across the southern tier of the United States, colder-than-average conditions across the north-central Plains, and wetter-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwest stretching into northern California. More frequent severe storms? All NOAA, NOAA's CPC Winter 2022-23 Outlook
There is above-normal snowfall around the Pacific basin and below-normal snowfall around the Atlantic basin. Overall, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system continued to reflect La Nia. 
Winter in Arkansas can be anything but predictable, but, armed with the Farmers Almanac Extended Winter Weather Forecast in Arkansas, we're hopeful that we might just catch some frozen falls this season! WebGet the monthly weather forecast for Little Rock, AR, including daily high/low, historical averages, to help you plan ahead. Higgins, W., J. Schemm, W. Shi, and A. Leetmaa, 2000: Extreme precipitation events in the western United States related to tropical forcing. The fallout from the eruption towered through the troposphere, the lowest layer of the atmosphere where most weather occurs, and reached into the stratosphere. This is also pretty vague, but it sounds like the forecast was for well below average temperatures with normal rain/snow totals. Local Storm Report, Decision Support The retreat of the jet stream results in more blocking high pressure systems that allow colder air to spill into western and central Canada and parts of the northern contiguous U.S. At the same time, storm track activity across the southern tier of the U.S. is diminished under upper-level high pressure, which also favors milder-than-normal temperatures. A repeat of last winter's early-season storms is unlikely, according to long-range forecasters. 
At least 6 killed as storm spawns tornadoes across storm-weary Midwest, Severe weather to threaten areas from Philadelphia to Charlotte, 2024 total solar eclipse guide: Everything you need to know, Rare April subtropical storm may brew in Gulf of Mexico, Ice climber in Utah dies after saving another from falling ice, Avalanche kills 7 tourists, injures 20 in India region near Tibet, Astronomy news: Hypnotic lights captured by NASA astronaut, Photo from ISS shows Earth, stars in motion, Scientists film deepest ever fish on seabed off Japan. The regular climate phenomenon occurs when the water near the equator in the eastern Pacific Ocean is cooler than average, which in turn influences the jet stream and the overall weather patterns in North America. As for Floridians and reptilian inhabitants of the Sunshine State, the pushes of frigid air that do make it to the Southeast might come short of intruding deep into central or southern Florida. For La Crosse, the temperature and precipitation data extend back to the 1872-73 winter and snowfall back to 1895-96. For more information, please visit the NCEIandClimate Prediction Center NAO pages. So, unlike ENSO, which is stationary, the MJO is aneastward movingdisturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average. This bike rider we will call the MJO and he/she may cross the stage from left to right several times during the show. Webnigel williams editor // arkansas winter forecast 2022. arkansas winter forecast 2022. hillary clinton height / trey robinson son of smokey mother However, the frequency, number, and intensity of these events cannot be predicted on a seasonal timescale. Daily scores are calculated based on scores assigned to temperature, snowfall, and snow depth thresholds. Meanwhile, drier-than-normal conditions are seen across central South America. Central and Southern California still have a chance to receive beneficial rainfall and mountain snow this winter, but the storms are likely to hold off until after the start of 2023. ModerateLa Nias (27% chance for this winter) tend to be in the coldest third of winters. Several times a year the MJO is a strong contributor to various extreme events in the United States, including Arctic air outbreaks during the winter months across the central and eastern portions of the United States. A moderate La Nia is shaping up across the eastern Pacific. This generally leads to a more variable polar jet stream, dumping cold air into the upper Mississippi River Valley. There will be a few chances for Arkansas to pick up some of this cold air. We generally get about 4-7 inches of snow in an average winter. The late-winter storms could help alleviate the severity of the drought heading into the spring when farmers begin to prepare to plant their annual crops. The snowfall totals will be boosted by a few nor'easters, with January and March bringing the highest chances of powerful coastal snowstorms. Get AccuWeather alerts as they happen with our browser notifications. Both phases of the NAO are associated with basin-wide changes in the intensity and location of the North Atlantic jet stream and storm track, and in large-scale modulations of the normal patterns of zonal and meridional heat and moisture transport, which in turn results in changes in temperature and precipitation patterns often extending from eastern North America to western and central Europe. | Arctic Arkansas, RELATED: Winter warnings vs watches, what's the difference? Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. To watch the latest video updates from the Arkansas Storm Team, you can check them out here. Visit the Old Farmers Almanac website to read the 2022-2023 winter weather forecast in full. Snowstorms will occur at times this winter. 2000, Cassou, 2008, Lin et al. In addition to fueling an active final stretch of the Atlantic hurricane season, which officially lasts through Nov. 30, the warm waters off the coasts of the Southeast will promote frequent storms and downpours across the region as the autumn fades into winter.
Even less sea ice was reported back in February 2021. wind chill, blowing snow), Does not include mixed precipitation or freezing rain explicitly (a preciponly version of AWSSI may help address the impacts of these events). Anomalous ocean cooling (blue-green) in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean and warming over the western Pacific Ocean enhance the rising branch of the Walker circulation over the Maritime Continent and the sinking branch over the eastern Pacific Ocean. A major weather divide is int he forecast. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The MJO was first discovered in the early 1970s by Dr. Roland Madden and Dr. Paul Julian when they were studying tropical wind and pressure patterns. Overall we are expecting much of western Arkansas to receive 6-12 inches of snow by mid March. Enhanced rising motion is also observed over northern South America, while anomalous sinking motion is found over eastern Africa. Climate.gov figure based on analysis at CPC using Rutgers gridded snow data. In this preliminary analysis below, there is a suggestion that weaker events are snowier over the Northeast and northern and central Plains on average. The 2021-2022 winter precipitation outlook split the country into two halves. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecastfor the upcoming winter months of December-February: While a weak to moderate La Nia is expected to impact the weather across much of the United States, its impacts in the Upper Mississippi River Valley can be highly variable with both temperatures and precipitation. This will present the best opportunities for rain in Los Angeles and San Diego, but even still, it will be far from enough to completely erase the long-term drought across the Southwest. Resorts in Central and Southern California, as well as Arizona and Utah, may be slow going early in the winter before natural snow picks up during the second half of the winter -- the exact opposite of what unfolded at the start of last winter. This winter, AccuWeather is predicting that Washington, D.C., will experience accumulating snow on only three to five days throughout the season with total accumulations amounting to 6 to 10 inches, just below the average of 13.7 inches. LITTLE ROCK, Ark Every year the Farmers Almanac comes out with its winter forecast that tries to predict what to expect for the upcoming winter. Climate,13, 793-820. In the South and Southeast, where the signal is strongest, we see a clear shift in activity with the ENSO phase, but with a tremendous range of variability, meaning some El Nio years still have high severe weather activity, and some La Nia years are relatively inactive. 
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